basic tools of epidemiology
This is important in epidemiology, because rates can be used to measure the speed of a disease event or to make epidemiologic comparisons between populations over time. (2006). Experimental studies - deliberate intervention is made and the effect of such intervention is observed. For that reason, positive tests are often followed up with a confirmatory test that displays higher specificity to identify which positive results are true and which are false. 13201 Bruce B. Downs Blvd, MDC 56 Therefore, if the study groups are comprised of differing fractions of employed and unemployed people, the results may very well be skewed. Prevalence is the proportion of a population has a specific disease or attribute at a specified point in time. Tampa, FL 33612. Trailer. A sensitive test is positive in disease and minimizes false-negative results, thus minimizing type II error. The precision of a test relates to how consistent the results of the test are. When corrected for the effects of this confounder, no association was found between alcohol consumption and heart disease. Topics: Importance of describing an event Continuous VS categorical data Ratios, proportions, rates; Incidence VS prevalence Other measures: AR, CFR, etc. The incidence risk of FUS in the population that may be attributed to DCF is 1. Epidemiology and the role of chance 1 It is important to remember that epidemiological studies are limited to a sample of individuals from a population, because it is usually impractical to include everyone. Perhaps the major disadvantage is the high potential for ethical implications if an intervention with great potential benefit is intentionally withheld from the control group (eg, the historic Tuskegee Syphilis Study). The group has no size limitation but must be able to be defined. Physical Address: Obesity and overweight have negative health effects, particularly by reducing the age at onset of, and increasing the prevalence of, type 2 diabetes. This material includes a set of instructional modules, each containing a set of slide images accompanied by a video clip version of the associated lecture. This was enough information to enable preventive measures to begin. Epidemiology is the study of the distribution and determinants of health-related states or events in specified populations, and the application of this study to the control of health problems. The development and expression of a disease occur over time and can be divided into three stages: predisease, latent, and symptomatic. In general, bias in descriptive studies is not as prevalent or significant as bias in analytical studies. TriPac (Diesel) TriPac (Battery) Power Management Measures of dispersion (spread) Range is defined as the difference between the largest and smallest observational. The legacy of this great resource continues as the Merck Veterinary Manual in the US and Canada and the MSD Vet Manual outside of North America. The month in which the most cases were diagnosed was September, in which 97 cases were diagnosed. The overall shape of the epi curve can give clues to the type of exposure that resulted in the outbreak. Descriptive epidemiology counts the frequency of cases and describes distribution patterns of disease among different groups in the population for further analysis (who, what, when, where). This review provides a summary of epidemiologic tools to facilitate understanding of the design and analysis of studies of Alzheimer disease (AD) and related disorders. Consider the relationship between animal bites and rabies; we know they are causally associated. Incidence is a measure of the new occurrence of a disease event (eg, illness or death) within a defined time period in a specified population. As an essential companion, the book will be of immense value for them. TOOLS OF MEASUREMENT The epidemiologist usually expresses disease magnitude as a rate, ratio or proportion. The risk for particular diseases may be influenced by gender, age, weight, bone density, and other biologic factors. In this scenario, the prevalence of coccidioidomycosis at the time of the serosurvey would be 237/6,821 or 0.035 (3.5%); the incidence in September would be 97 cases, and the incidence rate would be 97/6,821 or 0.014 (1.4%). Results showed that productivity increased during the course of the study regardless of the changes in light; the workers just performed better because of the attention. In summary, descriptive epidemiology serves to describe the occurrence of disease in a population. Public Health Update. By contrast, 25% of children with marasmus (starvation) or kwashiorkor (protein-calorie malnutrition related to weaning) may die from complications of measles. Therefore, the accuracy of a test is a trade-off between each of these parameters. They are inherently retrospective, so they are relatively quick and inexpensive. These answers are updated recently and are 100% correct answers of all week, assessment and final exam answers of Epidemiology: The Basic Science of Public Health from Coursera Free Certification Course. Need to consider chance, bias, confounding when interpreting the study results. Cont. 7) CoherenceAgreement between epidemiologic and laboratory findings increases the likelihood of a causal effect. Basic epidemiology. In the study, it was concluded that alcohol consumption was significantly associated with heart disease. Whereas health care practitioners collect data on a single patient, Submolecular or molecular level (e.g., cell biology, genetics, biochemistry, and immunology), Tissue or organ level (e.g., anatomic pathology), Level of individual patients (e.g., clinical medicine). The goal of intervention, whether preventive or therapeutic, is to alter the natural history of a disease in a favorable way. The definition of epidemiology is "the study of disease in populations and of factors that determine its occurrence over time." The purpose is to describe and identify opportunities for intervention. IRR is interpreted in the same way as risk ratio. Please confirm that you are a health care professional. When discussing the etiology of disease, epidemiologists distinguish between the biologic mechanisms and the social, behavioral, and environmental causes of disease. Active surveillance, in contrast, occurs when an epidemiologist or public health agency seeks specific data from individual health care providers or laboratories. Ecologic studies have several advantages over other types of observational studies. When the period of the study is from the past to the present, the study is a retrospective cohort study. Again using the influenza example from above, if 7 students had influenza at the same time during the academic quarter, the prevalence would be 7/102 or 0.069 cases per class (or 6.9%). Example, we might say that the rate of disease in our herd over a 12 -month period was 58 cases per 100 cattle. All rights reserved. Several sets of systematic criteria for determining causality have been proposed: 1) StrengthAlthough a small association does not mean that there is not a causal effect, the larger the association, the more likely that it is causal. Basic Epidemiology- by Bonita, Beaglehole & Kjellstrom, is one the most important and useful manual for everyone who uses scientific and evidence- based information. Ecologic studies also have several disadvantages. An example of passive surveillance is the system of officially notifiable diseases routinely reported to CDC by select health departments across the USA. Where: STD Pi: the size of standard population in the ith strata OBS Ri: the observed rate in the ith strata. Measures of effect in the total population Population attributable fraction (PAF) is the proportion of disease in the population that is due to the exposure. Basic terminology: accuracy, precision, bias, Epidemiologic Research Assumes Disease occurrence is not random Systematic investigation of different populations can identify causal and preventive factors Making comparisons is the cornerstone of systematic investigations, Definition of Epidemiology The study of the distribution and determinants of disease frequency in human or animal populations and the application of this study to control health problems, Key Words in Definition Disease frequency count cases, need system, records Disease distribution who, when, where Frequency, distribution, other factors generate hypotheses about determinants A determinant is a characteristic that influences whether or not disease occurs, Natural Progression in Epidemiologic Reasoning 1 st Suspicion that a factor influences disease occurrence. Tampa, FL 33612 Need to consider other research, strength of association, time directionality. Smallpox is the first infectious disease known to have been eradicated from the globe (although samples of the causative virus remain stored in U.S. and Russian laboratories). This is an expression of average risk applied to an individual (but estimated from the population). Specifically, the plasmodium must complete part of its life cycle within the mosquito; the climate must be relatively warm and provide a wet environment in which the mosquito can breed; the mosquito must have the opportunity to bite humans (usually at night, in houses where sleeping people lack screens and mosquito nets) and thereby spread the disease; the host must be bitten by an infected mosquito; and the host must be susceptible to the disease. Principles of Epidemiology. Many other disciplines are also important to public health. Although knowledge of the complete natural history is not absolutely necessary for treatment and control of disease in a population, it does facilitate the most effective interventions. Typical epi curves from common sources include 1) a common specific point source in which all cases were exposed at the same time and place (eg, a foodborne illness outbreak); 2) a common source with continuous exposure in which although the source is common, cases gradually rise before either peaking or plateauing and declining; and 3) a common source with intermittent exposure in which the peaks occur at irregular times corresponding to the earlier exposures. Bias is defined as the systematic deviation of results or inferences from truth. Cigarette smoking is an obvious example of a behavioral risk factor. It Begins With Causes Of Diseases And How They Can Be Prevented By Modification Of Environmental Factors, Which, In Turn, Can Lead To Promotion Of Better Health In The Community. Several factors can work synergistically, such as nutrition and immune status. For example, establishing a working case definition typically begins while the diagnosis is in the process of being verified and continues through the initial process of systematic case finding. The case definition defines a case in terms of person, place, and time. A clear understanding of the term is required for proper interpretation of epidemiological data . Epidemiology is usually defined as the study of factors that determine the occurrence and distribution of disease in a population. , Ph. ORs are calculated using a 2 2 frequency table (Calculating an Odds Ratio Calculating an Odds Ratio ). Measles is seldom fatal in well-nourished children, even in the absence of measles immunization and modern medical care. Obviously, each member of the cohort must not have the disease or outcome at the beginning of the study. Many illnesses, including tuberculosis and acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS), may be regarded as both infectious and chronic. When two variables are associated, it is sometimes obvious as to whether it is causal. From his cross-cultural studies, he made some stunning statements, including the following, Epidemiologic Surveillance and Epidemic Outbreak Investigation, Common Research Designs and Issues in Epidemiology, Principles and Practice of Secondary Prevention, Clinical Preventive Services (United States Preventive Services Task Force), Jekels Epidemiology Biostatistics and Preventive Medicine. It provides methods to study disease, injury, and clinical practice. Other behaviors that can lead to disease, injury, or premature death (before age 65) are excessive intake of alcohol, abuse of both legal and illegal drugs, driving while intoxicated, and homicide and suicide attempts. Numerical measures Measures of central tendency or location Measure of disperation. Disadvantages include the high cost in terms of money and time during the period of the study and the inability to study very rare diseases or health outcomes unless the cohort is extremely large. The second edition of this popular textbook provides an introduction to the principles and methods of epidemiology. In addition to man-made or naturally occurring carcinogens, the 1964 report included viral infections, nutritional deficiencies or excesses, reproductive activities, and a variety of other factors determined wholly or partly by personal behavior.. Incidence risk? During the symptomatic stage, when disease manifestations are evident, intervention may slow, arrest, or reverse the progression of disease; this is called tertiary prevention. Mode is a value occurs most frequently and it is used to highlight a common data point. For example: Table 1. The more specific the association between an exposure and an outcome, the higher the probability of causation. Some people distinguish between classical epidemiology and clinical epidemiology. For example: We know that the prevalence of a given disease throughout a country is 0. This is relevant, because certain variables may highlight changes in disease status and can be used to focus additional studies and interventions. 3010 USF Banyan Circle In medical research, these exposures typically include interventions such as vaccines, therapeutic drugs, surgical techniques, or medical devices. In fact, in epidemiology, the term ratio is applied when the numerator is not a subset of the denominator. * * To find what are special characteristics of affected ( for example a disease or any other events or outcomes) people. County of San Diego. To promote the health and well-being of society as a whole. A rate is another type of ratio in which the denominator involves the passage of time. , DVM, DACVPM, College of Veterinary Medicine and DeBusk College of Osteopathic Medicine, Lincoln Memorial University; , DVM, MPVM, DACVPM, Department of Pathobiology, College of Veterinary Medicine, Auburn University. The definition of epidemiology is the study of disease in populations and of factors that determine its occurrence over time. The purpose is to describe and identify opportunities for intervention. Stratum-specific rates are recommended when specific causal or protective factors or the prevalence of risk exposures are different for different levels of strata. Epidemiology is concerned with the distribution and determinants of health and disease, morbidity, injury, disability, and mortality in populations. For example, osteomalacia is a bone disease that may have both social and biologic causes. D) Department of Veterinary Public Health, Khon. Proportional mortality It is simply the proportion of all deaths that are due to a particular cause for a specified population and time period, Adjusted measures of health Adjusted rates are used when we want to compare the level of disease in different population. Epidemiologic measures: Overview Types of data Measures of occurrence or health Measures of association Measures of attribution Types of Data Continuous data Categorical data Variable: any observable event that can vary. Prevalence (cont. ) Designing usable geovisualization tools is an emerging problem in GIScience software development. For veterinary epidemiology, this intervention is to enhance not only health but also productivity. In this case, the relative risk would be 1.37/0.36 or 3.8. Once potential associations have been observed between those who have a particular disease and those who do not, further investigations are undertaken to determine causality and identify effective interventions. For instance, an epidemiological study may collect data on the number of people who answer, "Yes" when asked if someone in their . Establishing a working case definition is the method by which public health officials define what individuals are included as official cases in the outbreak and illustrate the boundaries of the outbreak. Note that incidence rate: Accounts for individuals that enter and leave the population throughout the period of study. If a particular student was randomly selected from that class, could it be inferred that that students IQ was above 100? Advances in knowledge have consolidated the WHO findings to the point where few, if any, researchers now question its main conclusion. In 2004 the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) estimated that 400,000 deaths annually were caused by obesity and its major risk factors, inactivity and an unhealthy diet.4 In 2005, using newer survey data and controlling for more potential confounders, other CDC investigators estimated that the number of deaths attributable to obesity and its risk factors was only 112,000.5 Regardless, increasing rates of obesity are found worldwide as part of a cultural transition related to the increased availability of calorie-dense foods and a simultaneous decline in physical activity, resulting in part from mechanized transportation and sedentary lifestyles.611. The numerator and denominator may be independent of each other. Incidence rates are usually expressed by a multiplier that makes the number easier to conceptualize and compare. Epidemiology is the study of the distribution and determinants of health-related states, conditions, or events in specified populations and the application of the results of this study to the control of health problems. The unit under study is a group of people or animals versus an individual. ETIOLOGY AND NATURAL HISTORY OF DISEASE, REVIEW QUESTIONS, ANSWERS, AND EXPLANATIONS. Type II error, also known as a false negative, is when the null hypothesis is accepted when it actually should have been rejected. Likewise, excessive fat intake, smoking, and lack of exercise are behavioral factors that contribute to the biologic mechanisms of atherogenesis, such as elevated blood levels of low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol or reduced blood levels of high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol. Obesity and overweight have negative health effects, particularly by reducing the age at onset of, and increasing the prevalence of, Epidemiologists are frequently the first professionals to respond to an apparent outbreak of new health problems, such as, During an outbreak of severe pneumonia among individuals attending a 1976 American Legion conference in Philadelphia, epidemiologists conducted studies suggesting that the epidemic was caused by an infectious agent distributed through the air-conditioning and ventilation systems of the primary conference hotels. Major areas of epidemiological study include disease causation, transmission, outbreak investigation, disease surveillance, environmental epidemiology, forensic epidemiology, occupational epidemiology, screening, biomonitoring, and comparisons of treatment effects such as in clinical trials. For rarer diseases, the opposite will be true, ie, the PPV will be low and the NPV will be high. Since publication of the first edition in 1993, Basic epidemiology has become a standard reference for education, training and research in the field of public health and has been translated into more than 25 languages. Basic concepts and principles of epidemiology Dr. Dharmendra Gahwai Immunopathology 1 Hawre Dlzar Basic measurements in epidemiology Rizwan S A Immunopathology Umair hanif Public health laws surendra2695 Lecture 1. an introduction to epidemiology Vasyl Sorokhan Health Legislations - Dr. Suraj Chawla Suraj Chawla Public health laws Indra Mani Mishra Basic Tools of Epidemiology (in Bangla) - YouTube This video contains a detailed discussion on :1.Basic tools of epidemiology2.Measurements of epidemiology3.Rates4.Ratio5.Proportion6.Crude. 2. Schneider, Dona, Lilienfeld, David E (Eds. Attack rate It is defined as the number of cases divided by the number of individuals exposed. 1-1). That is, there were 2. That is, no test can eliminate the potential for false-positive and false-negative results. It is usual to divide the observed number of disease cases by the expected number to yield a standardised morbidity/mortality ratio (SMR). Attack rate are usually in outbreak situations where the period of risk is limited and all cases arising from exposure are likely to occur within the risk period. The term etiology is defined as the cause or origin of a disease or abnormal condition. New York: Oxford University Press; 2015 K. Park. Host factors are responsible for the degree to which the individual is able to adapt to the stressors produced by the agent. The denominator includes both prevalent cases of the disease and individuals who are at risk of developing the disease. The first step in an analytic study is to form some conjecture regarding observed exposures and health outcomes. These are updated as new data come in and thus are subject to change. In addition to outbreaks having common sources, they can have propagated sources, in which cases can directly infect other cases separate from the initial source. The environment also includes social, political, and economic factors. Ratio ? In analytical studies, this conjecture is termed the null hypothesis, meaning that the default assumption is that there is no association between the exposure in question and the disease outcome. For example, On the basis of the data presented in Table 1 the incidence rate of clinical mastitis for the 12 -month period is 5 cases per 825 cowdays at risk. For example, suppose that, among domestic dogs testing positive for internal parasites in Glendale, Arizona, 889 were male and 643 were female. Those with small stools have large hospitals., Only gold members can continue reading. A person can have several co-morbidities simultaneously. Because there is a much higher probability of MI than lung cancer, cigarettes actually cause more cases of MI than lung cancer. The methodology is very similar to that of the prospective cohort study, except that all the events (exposures and outcomes) have already occurred; the investigator is merely looking back rather than forward. Common person variables include age, sex, race, socioeconomic status, marital status, religion, smoker/nonsmoker, etc. Geneva: World Health Organization. Not until 1982, however, was the causative agent, Borrelia burgdorferi, discovered and shown to be spread by the Ixodes tick. Distribution implies that diseases and other health outcomes do not occur randomly in populations; determinants are any factors that cause a change in a health condition or other defined characteristic; morbidity is illness due to a specific disease or health condition; mortality is death due to a specific disease or health condition; and the population at risk can be people, animals, or plants. 3010 USF Banyan Circle , M. Sc. To be accurate, a test need not always be close to the true value, but if repeat tests are run, the average of the results should be close to the true value. Many illustrations from classical epidemiology concern infectious diseases, because these were the original impetus for the development of epidemiology and have often been its focus. What is prevalence? Answers: The incidence risk of FUS in DCF+ group was 5. Since that time, they have accomplished extensive serial physical examinations and surveys relating to the development of cardiovascular disease. If a womans diet is also deficient in vitamin D during the rapid growth period of puberty, she may develop osteomalacia as a result of insufficient calcium absorption. Figure 1-1 Factors involved in natural history of disease. Many efforts in health promotion depend heavily on modifying human behavior, as discussed in Chapter 15. Selection bias results from the identification of subjects/cases from a subset that is not representative of the entire population at risk. 1. Because the cases have already been identified, they are appropriate for studying rare diseases and examining multiple exposures. The negative predictive value (NPV) is the probability of a patient not having the disease condition when the test is negative. This could be stated as Neutered male dogs would be nearly four times as likely as intact male dogs to develop prostate cancer.. This was enough information to enable preventive measures to begin. 4 th Judge whether association may be causal. The proportion of female dogs among those found to have parasite infections would be 643/(889 + 643), or 0.42. Continuous data Quantitative (numerical) data consisting of numerical values on a well defined scale: A discrete (discontinuous) scale: data can take only particular integer values, typically count e. g. , litter size, parity A continuous scale: for which all values are theoretically possible e. g. height, weight, concentration of chemical in blood etc. Observational studies include: Descriptive study and Analytical study - Case control and . The following results were obtained: Rabies + Rabies Total Vaccination 18 30 48 Vaccination 12 46 58 + The odds of rabies in 30 the unvaccinated Total 76 group was 2. Although a higher OR indicates a stronger association between exposure and outcome, it does not necessarily imply statistical significance and, by itself, is not enough to prove causality. Relative risk is calculated by dividing the incidence rate of the disease or outcome in the exposed individuals by the incidence rate in the unexposed individuals. 006 cases per cow-day at risk. Cigarettes seem to be responsible for about 50% of MI cases among smokers and about 90% of lung cancer cases. Whereas health care practitioners collect data on a single patient, epidemiologists collect data on an entire population. Public Health Update is a popular public health portal in Nepal. Morbidity is the measure of illness in a population, and numbers and rates are calculated in a similar fashion as with incidence and prevalence. This course is part of the Epidemiology in Public Health Practice Specialization Essential Epidemiologic Tools for Public Health Practice 4.7 2,694 ratings | 97% Aruna Chandran, MD, MPH Enroll for Free Financial aid available 43,058 already enrolled Offered By About Instructors Syllabus Reviews Enrollment Options FAQ About this Course To describe the distribution and magnitude of health and disease problems in human population. Odds of disease in the exposed population: Odds of disease in the non-exposed population: Cont. Attribute of an outbreak that can be considered and analyzed for influencing the outcome concept is that neither health disease! Of morbidity are prevalence and incidence ratio ( IRR ) this is also useful add Third-Party site of developing the disease cancer to traumatic brain injury unexposed.! 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